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Miguel B. Araújo Lab

Predicting the effects of environmental change on biodiversity

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Outputs

Coordinates of European 50×50 grid cells including elevation and surface area information

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Downscalled European maps of richness for plant, breeding bird, mammal, and herptile (reptile and amphibian) species*

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Ensembles of models of current and future (2050) distributions of amphibians and reptiles in Europe

As part of our commitment to ALARM we are releasing projections of current and future distributions, under climate change scenarios for 2050, for a large sample of European vertebrate and plant species. At present we provide projections for reptiles and amphibians.

Because model projections are invariably uncertain, we provide ensembles of projections for every species. These ensembles were produced by varying parameters such as: Socio-economic scenarios (A1Fi, A2, B1, B2); General Circulation Models (Hadcm3, CSIRO2); Bioclimate models (artificial neural networks, classification tree analysis, generalized additive models, and generalized linear models); Cut-off rules to convert probabilities into presence absence data (Kappa statistic, AUC of ROC).

Towards the end of the project we will publish a printed version of the European Atlas of Climate Change Impacts on Biodiversity.

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Ensembles of models of current and future (2050-2080) distributions of plants in Europe

As part of our commitment to ALARM we are releasing projections of current and future distributions, under climate change scenarios for 2050 and 2080, for a large sample of European plants.

access the data

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News

  • Dangerous levels of subterranean water consumption
  • Welcome Nuria Galiana
  • Miguel Araújo identified as Highly Cited 2020
  • Biophilia Award to The Guardian
  • FBBVA Biodiversity Conservation Awards - 15th edition

Outreach

  • The future of coastlands in the era of mega hurricanes
  • What will 2021 bring for biodiversity and conservation?
  • Presentation of CORESCAM project
  • Discriminating climate, land‐cover and random effects on species range dynamics
  • Talk to representatives of ministries of CPLP

Opportunities

  • First call AQUACOSM-PLUS
  • La Caixa Foundation PhD studentship on climate change and protected areas
  • Two Post docs: Ecology & Conservation
  • Post-doc: Effects of climate change extremes on Caribbean biodiversity
  • Post doc - Modelling the effects of climate change extremes on Caribbean biodiversity

Research Highlights

The evolution of critical thermal limits of life on Earth

Climate shapes community trophic structures and humans simplify them

The marine fish food web is globally connected

Standards for data and models in biodiversity assessments

The effect of multiple biotic interaction types on species persistence

Books

Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions

Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions

Atlas of Biodiversity Risk

Atlas of Biodiversity Risk

Spatial Conservation Prioritization

Spatial Conservation Prioritization

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