- Anderson, B. J., Akçakaya, H. R. Araújo, M.B., Fordham, D., Martinez-Meyer, E., Pearson, R., Thuiller, W., Brook, B. 2009. Dynamics of range margins for metapopulations under climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society London B. 276: 1415-1420.
- Araújo, M.B. 2009. Climate change and Spatial Conservation Planning. In Spatial Conservation Prioritization: quantitative methods and computational tools (eds. A. Moilanen, H. Possingham, K. Wilson). Oxford University Press.
- Araújo, M.B., Alagador, D., Cabeza, M., Lafourcade, B., Nogués Bravo, D. & Thuiller, W. Effects of climate change on European conservation areas. Science. Submitted.
- Araújo, M.B., Rozenfeld, R., Rahbek, C. & Marquet, P.A. Using species coexistence networks to assess the impacts of climate change. Ecology Letters. Submitted
- Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W. & Yoccoz, N.G. Re-opening the climate envelope reveals macroscale associations with climate in European birds. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 106 (16): E45-E46.
- Araújo, M.B. & Luoto, M. 2007. The importance of biotic interactions for modelling species distributions under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 16, 743-753
- Araújo, M.B., Nogués-Bravo, D., Diniz-Filho, J.A.F., Haywood, A.M., Valdes, P.J. & Rahbek, C. 2008. Quaternary climate changes explain diversity among reptiles and amphibians. Ecography 31: 8–15 [Choice of Faculty of 1000 Biology]
- Baselga, A. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Do community models fail to project community variation effectively? Journal of Biogeography DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2010.02341.x
- Baselga, A., Lobo, J.M., Svenning, J-C. & Araújo, M.B. Range circularity reveals non-climatic controls of species distributions. In review
- Baselga, A. & Araújo, M.B. 2009. Individualistic vs. community modelling of species distributions under climate change. Ecography 32: 55-65.
- Diniz-Filho, J.A., Bini, L.M., Rangel, T.F.L.B., Loyola, R.D., Hof, C., Nogués-Bravo, D. & Araújo, M.B. 2009. Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate changes. Ecography 32: 897-906.
- Engler, R., Randin, C.F., Thuiller, W., Dullinger, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Araújo, M.B., Pearman, P.B., Le Lay, G., Piedallu, C., Albert, C.H., Choler, P., Coldea, G., de Lamo, X., Dirnböck, T. Gégout, J-C., Gómez-García1, D., Grytnes, J-A., Heegaard, E., Høistad, F., Nogués-Bravo, D., Normand, S., Puşcaş, M., Sebastià, M-T., Stanisc, A., Theurillat,J-P., Trivedi, M., Vittoz, P. & Guisan. A. Climate change threatens European mountain flora. Nature. Submitted.
- Garcia, R. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Planejamento para a conservação em um clima em mudança. Natureza & Conservação. In press
- Hickler, T., Fronzek, S., Araújo, M.B., Schweiger, O., Thuiller, W., Sykes, M.T. Projections of species distributions and biodiversity might have been based upon misleading measures of water availability. Global Ecology and Biogeography 18: 304-313.
- Hof, C., Brändle, M., Dehling, D.M., Munguía, M., Brandl, R., Araújo, M.B., & Rahbek, C. The effect of habitat type on dispersal and species’ ability to cope with climate change. Biology Letters. In review.
- Hof, C., Rahbek, C. & Araújo, M.B. Phylogenetic signals in climatic niche similarity of the world’s amphibians. Ecography. 33: 242-250.
- Kujala, H., Cabeza, M., Araújo, M.B. & Thuiller, W. Misleading results from conventional Gap analysis – messages from the warming North. Ecology Letters. In review.
- Meier, E.S., Araújo, M.B., Guisan, A., Kienast, F., Pearman, P.B., Svenning, J-C., Thuiller, W. & Zimmermann, N.E. Biotic and climatic variables show little overlap in explaining patterns of the realized niche. In review.
- Munguía, M., Rahbek, C. & Araújo, M.B. Equilibrium of global amphibian species distributions with climate. In review.
- Nogués-Bravo, D., Araújo, M.B., Romdal, T., and Rahbek, C. Scale effects and human impact on the elevational species richness gradients. Nature 453:216-220
- Nogués-Bravo, D., Ohlemüller, R., Batra, P. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Climate predictors of Late Quaternary Extinctions. Evolution. doi:10.1111/j.1558-5646.2010.01009.x
- Olofsson, J., Hickler, T., Sykes, M.T., Araújo, M.B., Baletto, E., Berry, P.M., Bonelli, S., Cabeza, M., Dubuis, A., Guisan, A., Kühn, I., Kujala, H., Piper, J., Rounsevell, M., Settele, J. & Thuiller, W. Climate change impacts on European biodiversity – observations and future projections. Biological Reviews. In review
- Thuiller, W., Lafourcade, B., Engler, R., & Araújo, M.B. 2009. BIOMOD – A platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Ecography 32: 369-373
- Thuiller, W., Albert, C., Araújo, M.B., Berry, P.M., Guisan, A., Hickler, T., Midgley, G.F., Paterson, J., Schurr, F.M., Sykes, M.T. & Zimmermann, N.E. 2008. Predicting climate change impacts on plant diversity: where to go from here? Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 9: 137–152
- Williams, P.H., Araújo, M.B. & Rasmont, P. 2007. Predicting vulnerability among species and sites for British bumblebees. Biological Conservation 138: 493-505