On January 28th at 12:00 PM in the “Salon de Actos” at the “Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales”, we will be hosting a special seminar featuring Enrico Recende‘s recent work on predictive macro-physiology. All invited.

The full title of the seminar is: Seminar: Mechanistic niche models and their application to predictive ecology

Below, you can find the abstract:

Abstract: Ecosystems are under increasing stress due to global warming, rising average temperatures, and more frequent thermal extremes. Predictive models are urgently needed to anticipate which organisms, communities, and ecosystems may be most vulnerable. While many heuristic approaches are currently in use, few mechanistic models predict vulnerability based on physiological knowledge. My seminar will focus on how termal-tolerance landscapes (describing the probability of survival as influenced by temperature and exposure time in laboratory settings) can be used to predict heat-induced mortality in the field. This approach allows for predictions about the impact of variable thermal regimes without relying on arbitrary temperature indices. Originally developed for animals, thermal landscapes are now being applied to other lineages, including plants. I will discuss the implications of these findings and explore ways to integrate this approach with other stressors, microclimatic data, and ecological interactions to more accurately predict future scenarios